“Brexit
means Brexit!” Thus spake Theresa May. Thus, we now know the lady is not for
turning against the wishes of the great unwashed, which in itself is a novelty
for a Tory PM.
When asked
about the complexities of the UK’s exit from the EU a political commentator likened
our departure to a multi-dimensional chess game. A game played with the futures
of industrial sectors, businesses and individual rights at stake.
Many Brexit
voters are still euphoric over their recent victory. Some are claiming
vindication of the ‘Leave’ vote arguing that the ‘Remain’ predictions of doom
and gloom have not materialised. The housing market is steady, indeed still on
the rise in London and some other areas of the country; employment numbers
remain steady.
Others
remain confident we can exit the EU while then being allowed back into the
single market without any strings attached. If they don’t we could start
imposing heavy tariffs on EU goods. How would Mercedes feel about paying a 40%
tariff to sell their cars in the UK?
There are
then the overly optimistic who dismiss the need for European imports. We don’t
need foreign cars. No, we’ll build our own car plants and manufacture our own
vehicles.
The very
idea that there are capitalists in the UK who would invest in the manufacturing
sector is quaint. Capitalists in the UK have become risk adverse, look at the
way the banks came running to us, the taxpayers, to bail them out in 2008.
It is too
early for any real analysis of the Brexit vote to be made. However, as time
elapses and if uncertainty prevails, foreign investors, especially in vehicle
manufacturing and the financial sector, will become jittery. Our economic
future will unfold over the next few months.
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